Do Market Prices Improve the Accuracy of Court Valuations in Chapter 11?
Abstract
The average difference between the court value and post-emergence market value of newly issued stocks in Chapter 11 reorganizations exceeds 50%. We show that public dissemination of transactions in defaulted bonds reduces this difference by 23% and largely eliminates inter-claimant wealth transfers. The effects of dissemination are only significant when the bonds are sufficiently traded around the court valuation date, and when they receive significant amounts of post-emergence equity, indicating that the bond’s value is sensitive to the size and allocation of the pie. These findings imply that security prices have real effects: They improve the valuations of bankruptcy participants.
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© Cem Demiroglu, Julian Franks, Ryan Lewis, 2020
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